TY - JOUR
T1 - Comparison of equilibrium and transient responses to CO2 increase in eight state-of-the-art climate models
AU - Yokohata, Tokuta
AU - Emori, Seita
AU - Nozawa, Toru
AU - Ogura, Tomoo
AU - Kawamiya, Michio
AU - Tsushima, Yoko
AU - Suzuki, Tatsuo
AU - Yukimoto, Seiji
AU - Abe-ouchi, Ayako
AU - Hasumi, Hiroyasu
AU - Sumi, Akimasa
AU - Kimoto, Masahude
PY - 2008
Y1 - 2008
N2 - We compared the climate response of doubled CO2 equilibrium experiments (2 × CO2) by atmosphere-slab ocean coupled general circulation models (ASGCMs) and that of 1% per year CO2 increase experiments (1%CO2 by atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation models (AOGCMs) using eight state-of-the-art climate models. Climate feedback processes in 2 × CO2 are different from those in 1%CO2, and the equilibrium climate sensitivity (T2×) in 2 × CO2 is different from the effective climate sensitivity (T2×,eff) in 1%CO2. The difference between T2× and T2×,eff is from -1.3 to 1.6 K, a large part of which can be explained by the difference in the ice-albedo and cloud feedback. The largest contribution is cloud SW feedback, and the difference in cloud SW feedback for 2 × CO2 and 1%CO2 could be determined by the distribution of the SAT anomaly which causes differences in the atmospheric thermal structure. An important factor which determines the difference in ice-albedo feedback is the initial sea ice distribution at the Southern Ocean, which is generally overestimated in 2 ×CO2 as compared to 1%CO2 and observation. Through the comparison of climate feedback processes in 2 × CO2 and 1%CO2, the possible behaviour of the time evolution of T2×,eff is discussed.
AB - We compared the climate response of doubled CO2 equilibrium experiments (2 × CO2) by atmosphere-slab ocean coupled general circulation models (ASGCMs) and that of 1% per year CO2 increase experiments (1%CO2 by atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation models (AOGCMs) using eight state-of-the-art climate models. Climate feedback processes in 2 × CO2 are different from those in 1%CO2, and the equilibrium climate sensitivity (T2×) in 2 × CO2 is different from the effective climate sensitivity (T2×,eff) in 1%CO2. The difference between T2× and T2×,eff is from -1.3 to 1.6 K, a large part of which can be explained by the difference in the ice-albedo and cloud feedback. The largest contribution is cloud SW feedback, and the difference in cloud SW feedback for 2 × CO2 and 1%CO2 could be determined by the distribution of the SAT anomaly which causes differences in the atmospheric thermal structure. An important factor which determines the difference in ice-albedo feedback is the initial sea ice distribution at the Southern Ocean, which is generally overestimated in 2 ×CO2 as compared to 1%CO2 and observation. Through the comparison of climate feedback processes in 2 × CO2 and 1%CO2, the possible behaviour of the time evolution of T2×,eff is discussed.
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U2 - 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00345.x
DO - 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00345.x
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:52949139119
SN - 0280-6495
VL - 60
SP - 946
EP - 961
JO - Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
JF - Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
IS - 5
ER -