Impact of the Ablative Margin on Local Tumor Progression after Radiofrequency Ablation for Lung Metastases from Colorectal Carcinoma: Supplementary Analysis of a Phase II Trial (MLCSG-0802)

Purpose: To explore what extent of ablative margin depicted by computed tomography (CT) immediately after radiofrequency (RF) ablation is required to reduce local tumor progression (LTP) for colorectal cancer (CRC) lung metastases. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study was undertaken as a supplementary analysis of a previous prospective trial. Seventy patients (49 men and 21 women; mean age ± standard deviation, 64.9 years ± 10.6 years) underwent RF ablation for CRC lung metastases, and 95 tumors that were treated in the trial and followed up with CT at least 12 months after RF ablation were evaluated. The mean tumor size was 1.0 cm ± 0.5 cm. The ablative margin was estimated as the shortest distance between the outer edge of the tumor and the surrounding ground-glass opacity on CT obtained immediately after RF ablation. The impact of the ablative margin on LTP was evaluated using logistic regression analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was also performed to identify the risk factors for LTP. The result was validated with multivariate logistic regression applying a bootstrap method (1,000 times resampling). Results: The mean ablative margin was 2.7 mm ± 1.3 (range, 0.4–7.3 mm). LTP developed in 6 tumors (6%, 6/95) 6–19 months after RF ablation. The LTP rate was significantly higher when the margin was less than 2 mm (P =.023). A margin of <2 mm was also found to be a significant factor for LTP (P =.048) on multivariate analysis and validated using the bootstrap method (P =.025). Conclusions: An ablative margin of at least 2 mm is important to reduce LTP after RF ablation for CRC lung metastases.