Pre-treatment metabolic tumour volume and total lesion glycolysis are superior to conventional positron-emission tomography/computed tomography variables for outcome prediction in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma in clinical practice

Metabolic tumour volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) are positron-emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) variables for predicting multiple myeloma’s (MM) outcome. We retrospectively investigated and compared the predictive value of MTV, TLG and high-risk PET/CT variables in clinical practice in 185 patients with newly diagnosed symptomatic MM. High-risk PET/CT findings were defined as the presence of at least one of the following: more than three focal lesions, maximum standardised uptake value (SUV_max) >4·2 and extramedullary disease. MTV was defined as the volume of myeloma lesions visualised on PET/CT with SUV ≥ 2·5. TLG was calculated as the sum of the product of the average SUV and MTV of all lesions. The mortality prediction optimal cut-off values for MTV and TLG were 56·4 cm³ and 166·4 g, respectively. High-burden MTV (≥56·4 cm³), TLG (≥166·4 g) and high-risk PET/CT findings differed significantly in progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). High-burden MTV and TLG findings also predicted survival outcomes in young patients (age <75 years) and patients with high-risk chromosomal abnormalities. High-burden MTV and TLG independently predicted both worse PFS and OS. Pre-treatment MTV and TLG independently predicted survival outcomes in clinical practice and may be more useful than high-risk PET/CT variables.