Abstract
This paper considers a semiparametric estimation of the memory parameter in a cyclical long-memory time series, which exhibits a strong dependence on cyclical behaviour, using the Whittle likelihood based on generalised exponential (GEXP) models. The proposed estimation is included in the so-called broadband or global method and uses information from the spectral density at all frequencies. We establish the consistency and the asymptotic normality of the estimated memory parameter for a linear process and thus do not require Gaussianity. A simulation study conducted using Monte Carlo experiments shows that the proposed estimation works well compared to other existing semiparametric estimations. Moreover, we provide an empirical application of the proposed estimation, applying it to the growth rate of Japan's industrial production index and detecting its cyclical persistence.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 272-295 |
Number of pages | 24 |
Journal | Journal of Nonparametric Statistics |
Volume | 28 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Apr 2 2016 |
Keywords
- cyclical behaviour
- exponential models
- long memory
- semiparametric estimation
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Statistics and Probability
- Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty